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Category: Macro

An isolated gas station on an empty desert road at night, its canopy lit and the price sign dark, with an amber glow on the horizon
Macro

Wednesday’s CPI: the headline will look scary, but the real risk is somewhere else

US September CPI on Wednesday at 8:30 am ET: headline seen at 3.6-3.7% on gasoline, core steady. October is priced for no…

Continua a leggere →14 Oct 2026 · 9 min
A stone staircase climbing through the darkness towards an amber glow at the top, between rocks and dark structures, with no end in sight
Macro

It was not a move. It was the start of a cycle.

The first Fed hike in three years is not a move, it is a cycle. What the dot plot says, why the…

Continua a leggere →24 Sep 2026 · 11 min
An oil tanker in the dark on a black sea, backlit by an amber glow on the horizon
Macro

Friday’s CPI: the number that decides the Fed is not the headline

US August CPI on Friday at 8:30 am ET: consensus 3.3% year on year, hot monthly print. The number that weighs on…

Continua a leggere →11 Sep 2026 · 11 min
Vast deserted open-plan office at night, rows of empty desks fading into darkness and a single desk lit by an amber lamp, an image of the frozen American labour market
Macro

Friday’s NFP: this time bad news is not good news

Preview of the US payrolls on 7 August: consensus +80K, unemployment 4.2%, wages +3.5%. With this Fed the reaction runs backwards: the…

Continua a leggere →6 Aug 2026 · 10 min
Rising US dollar index with Fed, ECB and BoJ rates compared
Macro

The strong dollar and what it really does to your trades

Hey trader, let me ask you a blunt question. When you take a trade, on gold, on the DAX, on EUR/USD, do…

Continua a leggere →22 Jul 2026 · 4 min
Macro

Gold Above $4,000: What the Market Is Really Pricing In

🤓 Nerd Mode Every time gold prints a new high, the usual chorus comes back: “it’s inflation”, “it’s fear”, “it’s war”. These…

Continua a leggere →15 Jul 2026 · 4 min
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